Snapshots

One model tying price, cost and growth, with the unknowns left blank

Being built
  • Seven formulas run from paying brands through margin, burn and runway.
  • At $79 a plan, brain cost of $15 leaves about 81% margin.
  • At the caps' ceiling of $180, the same brand loses $101 a month.
  • Growth, churn, fixed costs and cash have no figure in any source.
  • Only a measured month closes the gap between those two costs.
81margin percent, low cost case
Your call

Model 5, 15 and 30 new trials a month, and use $45 cost per brand until measured?

Finance · 13.10

Financial model

Needs youLast checked Mon Oct 26Owner Param

Answer

How pricing, costs and growth tie together into one model; no model exists, so this page sets out its drivers, its formulas and one worked example on the proposed prices, every figure marked a projection, and Param supplies the growth and cost inputs that have no source.

Today

Inputs with a source

Input Value Source
v1 plan $79 or ₹4,999 a month brew working tree docs/pricing.md:20
Wallet added by the plan $12 a month brew working tree docs/pricing.md:21
Brain cost estimate per brand about $15 in v1, $45 in v4 brew working tree docs/pricing.md:23
Allowed cost per brand before drafts up to about $180 a month, proposed content/ai-and-models/cost-per-brand.md Numbers
First build of every Play about $18 on Pro, proposed; about $80 for a full demo build content/ai-and-models/cost-per-brand.md Numbers brew/public/demo-picker.html:201
Play rewrite estimate $0.40 on Pro, plus about 1.5 times overhead brew/rewrite-pot.js:19-24
Google credits left $20,763 on 16 Oct memory brew-gemini-provider
Partners after the partnership $79 for life, proposed brew working tree docs/pricing.md:41

Tomorrow

Item Version Tag
A sheet with the drivers below, monthly for 24 months v1 New
Measured cost per brand replaces the estimate v1 Changes
Version prices and autopilot added as each version ships v2 to v4 New

How we do it

Inputs with no source

Input Needed for
New brands a month Growth
Trial to paid rate Growth
Monthly churn Growth
Wallet spend per brand a month Revenue
Fixed costs: people, tools, cloud base Burn
Cash in bank Runway

These have no figure in any source content/finance/revenue-plan.md Today content/finance/budget.md Today.

The formulas

  1. Paying brands this month = paying brands last month × the share kept, plus new trials × trial to paid.
  2. Plan revenue = paying brands × the plan price for their version.
  3. Wallet revenue = paying brands × wallet spend per brand.
  4. Variable cost = paying and trial brands × cost per brand, plus first builds × first build cost.
  5. Gross margin = plan revenue plus wallet revenue, less variable cost.
  6. Burn = fixed costs plus variable cost, less revenue, less credit drawn.
  7. Runway = cash ÷ burn.

A worked example, a projection, not a promise

One v1 brand a month on the proposal's numbers:

Line Low cost case High cost case
Plan $79 $79
Brain cost $15, the spec's estimate $180, the caps' ceiling
Gross margin before wallet $64, about 81% minus $101

The gap between the two columns is the single most important unknown in the model, and only a measured month closes it.

Numbers

Metric Definition Where measured Status
Gross margin per brand As in formula 5, per brand The model sheet Proposed
Burn a month As in formula 6 Spend ledger plus the sheet Proposed
Runway in months As in formula 7 The sheet Proposed, no cash figure
Credit runway Credits left ÷ credit drawn a month Cloud Billing credits Proposed

Open

  1. Growth inputs. Proposal: model three cases of 5, 15 and 30 new trials a month with a 30% trial to paid rate and 5% monthly churn, labelled projections, until the first real month replaces them.
  2. Cost per brand input. Proposal: use $45 until three partners have one measured month.
  3. Fixed costs and cash. Proposal: Param enters salaries, tools and cash privately in the sheet; this page shows only the runway.
  4. Who owns the sheet? Proposal: Sai builds it, Param reviews it monthly with the investor update.
Sources
  • brew working tree docs/pricing.md:20-43, untracked
  • brew origin/main a559de6: rewrite-pot.js:19-24, public/demo-picker.html:201
  • handbook content/finance/unit-economics.md, content/finance/revenue-plan.md, content/finance/budget.md, content/ai-and-models/cost-per-brand.md
  • memory: brew-gemini-provider, brew-model-compare-2026-10-20, brew-pricing-parked

Source file content/finance/financial-model.md · For agents: Markdown · JSON